Skewness preference, risk taking and expected utility maximisation

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Available empirical evidence suggests that skewness preference plays an important role in understanding asset pricing and gambling. This paper establishes a skewness-comparability condition on probability distributions that is necessary and sufficient for any decision-maker's preferences over the distributions to depend on their means, variances, and third moments only. Under the condition, an Expected Utility maximizer's preferences for a larger mean, a smaller variance, and a larger third moment are shown to parallel, respectively, his preferences for a first-degree stochastic dominant improvement, a mean-preserving contraction, and a downside risk decrease and are characterized in terms of the von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function in exactly the same way. By showing that all Bernoulli distributions are mutually skewness comparable, we further show that in the wide range of economic models where these distributions are used individuals decisions under risk can be understood as trade-offs between mean, variance, and skewness. Our results on skewness-inducing transformations of random variables can also be applied to analyze the effects of progressive tax reforms on the incentive to make risky investments. © 2010 The International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics.

Bibliographical metadata

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)108-129
Number of pages21
JournalGENEVA Risk and Insurance Review
Volume35
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2010