Are the US and China fated to fight?Citation formats

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Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of ‘power transition’ shape great power war or peace. / Gries, Peter Hays; Jing, Yiming.

In: Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol. 32, No. 4, 2019, p. 456–482.

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Gries, Peter Hays ; Jing, Yiming. / Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of ‘power transition’ shape great power war or peace. In: Cambridge Review of International Affairs. 2019 ; Vol. 32, No. 4. pp. 456–482.

Bibtex

@article{2649e47615f546efa2778aa1786efb64,
title = "Are the US and China fated to fight?: How narratives of {\textquoteleft}power transition{\textquoteright} shape great power war or peace",
abstract = "Are the United States (US) and China destined to fall into a {\textquoteleft}Thucydides trap{\textquoteright} of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores how the intersubjective perception of media-disseminated narratives of US–China interdependence may shape the likelihood of war. In two randomized online experiments, we manipulated ordinary Americans{\textquoteright} perceptions of US–China relations with real CNN video clips that narrated a US–China power transition as either positive or zero sum. Across both experiments, more zero-sum narratives boosted perceived US–China competition, increasing intergroup mistrust, anger and subsequent desires for a tougher China policy. The second study also revealed that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the effects of the perception of media narratives on mistrust and anger. Viewers actively interpret media they are exposed to. These findings empirically demonstrate the power of narratives: specifically, they reveal the psychological mechanisms linking structural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that may determine great power war and peace.",
keywords = "US-China relations, power transitions, realism, war, peace",
author = "Gries, {Peter Hays} and Yiming Jing",
year = "2019",
doi = "10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170",
language = "English",
volume = "32",
pages = "456–482",
journal = "Cambridge Review of International Affairs",
issn = "0955-7571",
publisher = "Routledge",
number = "4",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Are the US and China fated to fight?

T2 - How narratives of ‘power transition’ shape great power war or peace

AU - Gries, Peter Hays

AU - Jing, Yiming

PY - 2019

Y1 - 2019

N2 - Are the United States (US) and China destined to fall into a ‘Thucydides trap’ of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores how the intersubjective perception of media-disseminated narratives of US–China interdependence may shape the likelihood of war. In two randomized online experiments, we manipulated ordinary Americans’ perceptions of US–China relations with real CNN video clips that narrated a US–China power transition as either positive or zero sum. Across both experiments, more zero-sum narratives boosted perceived US–China competition, increasing intergroup mistrust, anger and subsequent desires for a tougher China policy. The second study also revealed that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the effects of the perception of media narratives on mistrust and anger. Viewers actively interpret media they are exposed to. These findings empirically demonstrate the power of narratives: specifically, they reveal the psychological mechanisms linking structural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that may determine great power war and peace.

AB - Are the United States (US) and China destined to fall into a ‘Thucydides trap’ of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores how the intersubjective perception of media-disseminated narratives of US–China interdependence may shape the likelihood of war. In two randomized online experiments, we manipulated ordinary Americans’ perceptions of US–China relations with real CNN video clips that narrated a US–China power transition as either positive or zero sum. Across both experiments, more zero-sum narratives boosted perceived US–China competition, increasing intergroup mistrust, anger and subsequent desires for a tougher China policy. The second study also revealed that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the effects of the perception of media narratives on mistrust and anger. Viewers actively interpret media they are exposed to. These findings empirically demonstrate the power of narratives: specifically, they reveal the psychological mechanisms linking structural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that may determine great power war and peace.

KW - US-China relations

KW - power transitions

KW - realism

KW - war

KW - peace

U2 - 10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170

DO - 10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170

M3 - Article

VL - 32

SP - 456

EP - 482

JO - Cambridge Review of International Affairs

JF - Cambridge Review of International Affairs

SN - 0955-7571

IS - 4

ER -