“On the demand side, there’s always been that Brexit betrayal electorate out there,” said Rob Ford, an academic at Manchester university. “ It looks like the point may have arrived for some people. It’s perfectly possible [for Ukip] to get to 10 per cent in the polls without having really any organisational capacity whatsoever.”
On paper Mr Robinson has the ability to increase Ukip’s reach: the video for which he was jailed was viewed 250,000 times on Facebook. But Ukip’s Eurosceptic membership has previously resisted a focus on Islam. “There’s a big gap between ‘I don’t like Chequers’ and ‘I don’t like Muslims’,” said Mr Ford.